Weekly Seasonality Outlook: 15 October 2023

Bullish times always start with a lot of uncertainty. Volatility is part of that.

October 15, 2023

Discover unique profit opportunities through seasonal patterns and events in the stock market.

Welcome to our newsletter! 

We regularly provide valuable information and expertise to help you find and evaluate successful investments and trades. 

We send out different issues per week:

  1. Seasonality Outlook

  2. Seasonal Patterns of the Week

In this issue, you will find relevant content to help you increase your trading success and take advantage of opportunities in the stock markets.

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Seasonal Market Outlook

The market overview shows you current trends, developments, and prospects of seasonal patterns in various asset classes.

Summary

Major Indices

Let's take a look at the major indices.

Seasonal Outlook: Indices

The seasonal patterns of the major indices for the next 30 days are positive.

The seasonal low of the indices is behind us but beware. October is not a month of stable price rises. 

The 20-year seasonal pattern of the SP500 shows rising prices through the end of November. But as emphasized here several times, higher volatilities may occur.

The following chart shows the strongest and weakest seasonal patterns.

Election Seasonal Outlook (Post, Mid, Pre, Election): Indices

Let's take a look at the indices in the current pre-election year. 

The seasonal pattern in pre-election years also shows a mixed picture. Especially the non-U.S. indices show a mixed picture.

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Indices

The 10-day intraday seasonality shows a positive picture. 

Here is the same chart with the U.S. indices.

FANG Stocks and more

Let's take a look at the extensive MarketCap stocks.

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: FANG and more

The seasonal 10-day patterns for the big MarketCaps are mixed. 

With our watchlist feature, you can create and analyze your own instrument lists.

U.S. Sectors 

Let's take a look at the U.S. sectors.

Seasonal Outlook: Sectors

The U.S. indices also ended their seasonal downward trend at the end of September. October showed a positive trend. 

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Sectors 

The seasonal 10-day patterns for the U.S. sectors are mixed. 

Currencies

Let's take a look at the currencies.

Seasonal Outlook: Currencies

The 30-day seasonality for FX futures is positive. The most robust seasonal uptrend is the JPY.

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Currencies

The 10-day seasonal trend for currency forwards shows a mixed picture. 

Crypto

Let's take a look at the crypto.

Seasonal Outlook: Crypto

The seasonal pattern for the next 30 days for the major cryptocurrencies shows a mixed picture. 

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Crypto

The seasonal 10-day trend for cryptocurrencies shows a mixed picture. 

Commodities

Let's take a look at the commodities.

Seasonal Outlook: Commodities

The seasonal pattern for the next 30 days shows a mixed picture for commodities.

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Commodities

The seasonal 10-day intraday pattern shows a mixed picture.

Interesting seasonal pattern

What are the opportunities based on seasonal solid patterns?

The Seasonal Chart of the Week is from the stock GS (Goldman Sachs).

Especially exciting is that this stock has a very high correlation to its seasonal pattern this year.

If this seasonality continues, there is a high probability that Goldman's stock will rise 9% by the end of November.

Profit from recurring patterns.

Take advantage of seasonal market opportunities now! Learn more about our customized analysis tools and visit our website, seasonality.ai.

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Our screening and analysis tools

Help you find recurring patterns with an annual accuracy rate of over 90%. The Seasonality Screener and Event Screener show you the best periodic trends for stocks, ETFs, currencies (Forex), commodities, and futures. You can find profitable times to trade and invest with just a few clicks.

Our database contains hundreds of grand entry and exit points.

The Seasonality Screener is part of our Seasonal Essentials program, which includes two other powerful tools for analyzing recurring price patterns.

For more information and analysis, visit Seasonality.Ai.